Appendix 6. SROI quantities and filters - applied in this analysis

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from extremely low to very low during the investment period

25%

Case managers reported that the young people they work with present with a range of mental health issues, most of which are not diagnosed. The Health and Well-being of Incarcerated Adolescents study by the Royal Australasian College of Physicians (2011, p.22) estimates that up to 75% of young people in the youth justice system fulfil the criteria for one or more diagnosable psychiatric disorders. The inverse of 75% is the 25% deadweight.

0%

Nothing is displaced.

0%

Attribution to other stakeholders changes as young people go through the stages of development (Stage A - 0%, Stage B - 25%; Stage C - 25%, Stage D - 50%). Average attribution is calculated, based on the journey the young people made during the investment period.

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from extremely low to low during the investment period

25%

0%

13%

NA

0%

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from extremely low to below average during the investment period

25%

0%

17%

NA

0%

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from extremely low to average during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

2

50%

Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from very low to low during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from very low to below average during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

# young people whose self-esteem will increase very low to average during the investment period

25%

0%

33%

2

50%

Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from low to below average during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from low to average during the investment period

25%

0%

38%

2

50%

Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years.

# young people whose self-esteem will increase from below average to average during the investment period

25%

0%

50%

2

50%

# young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from not being engaged at all to being engaged to a very small extent during the investment period

27%

The young people who are engaged in the program have already been in contact with the law and in most circumstances are already facing court. Based on the 2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey (p.16), the proportion of Aboriginal young people in custody in NSW who were attending school, TAFE or worked in the 6 months before custody was 27%, which is the deadweight.

0%

Nothing is displaced

0%

Attribution to other stakeholders changes as young people go through the stages of development (Stage A -0%, Stage B - 25%; Stage C - 25%, Stage D - 50%). Average attribution is calculated, based on the journey the young people made during the investment period.

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from not being engaged at all to being engaged to a small extent during the investment period

27%

0%

13%

NA

0%

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from not being engaged at all to being engaged to a moderate extent during the investment period

27%

0%

17%

NA

0%

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from not being engaged at all to being engaged to a large extent during the investment period

27%

0%

25%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a very small extent to being engaged to a small extent during the investment period

27%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a very small extent to being engaged to a moderate extent during the investment period

27%

0%

25%

NA

0%

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a very small extent to being engaged to a large extent during the investment period

27%

0%

33%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a small extent to being engaged to a moderate extent during the investment period

27%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a small extent to being engaged to a large extent during the investment period

27%

0%

38%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# of young people whose engagement in a meaningful activity will increase from being engaged to a moderate extent to being engaged to a large extent during the investment period

27%

0%

50%

2

50%

# young people whose connections increase from extremely weak to very weak during the investment period

25%

The ability to make positive connection is also leliant on the ability of the young people to maintain positive relationships with those around them. When suffering from a psychiatric disorder this is extremely hard. The same source for deadweight is used as for outcome 1.1.

0%

Nothing is displaced

0%

Attribution to other stakeholders changes as young people go through the stages of development (Stage A -0%, Stage B - Stage c - 25%, Stage D - 50%). Average attribution is calculated, based on the journey 25%; the young people made during the investment period.

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections increase from extremely weak to weak during the investment period

25%

0%

13%

NA

0%

# young people whose connections increase from extremely weak to fairly weak during the investment period

25%

0%

17%

NA

0%

# young people whose connections increase from extremely weak to average during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections will increase from very weak to weak during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections will increase from very weak to fairly weak during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

# young people whose connections will increase from very weak to average during the investment period

25%

0%

33%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections will increase from weak to fairly weak during the investment period

25%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections will increase from weak to average during the investment period

25%

0%

38%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose connections will increase from fairly weak to average during the investment period

25%

0%

50%

2

50%

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from an extremely large likelihood to a large likelihood during the investment period

15%

The young people who are engaged in the project have already been in contact with the law and in most circumstances are already facing court. The 2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey (p.13) states that 85% of the Aboriginal young people reported having a history of previously juvenile detention. The inverse of 85% is the 15% deadweight.

0%

Nothing is displaced

0%

Attribution to other stakeholders changes as young people go through the stages of development (Stage A -0%, Stage B - 25%; Stage C - 25%, Stage D - 50%). Average attribution is calculated, based on the journey the young people made during the investment period.

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from an extremely large likelihood to a moderate likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

13%

NA

0%

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from an extremely large likelihood to a small likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

17%

NA

0%

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from an extremely large likelihood to a very small likelihood during the investment period

0%

25%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a large likelihood to a moderate likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a large likelihood to a small likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

25%

NA

0%

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a large likelihood to a very small likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

33%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a moderate likelihood to a small likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

25%

NA

0%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a moderate likelihood to a very small likelihood

15%

0%

38%

2

50%

See rationale for Outcome 1.1

# young people whose likelihood of detention/incarceration will reduce from a small likelihood to a very small likelihood during the investment period

15%

0%

50%

2

50%

# of families where case managers report as having improved communication

25%

Based on interviews: There are very few organisations operating in the area that assist families to improve their communication

0%

Nothing is displaced

50%

Case managers act as a catalyst for the change to happen, however, other organisations / people are responsible to actually providing support required for the families to change

2

50%

In line with assumptions for young people. Once families have experienced this outcome, it lasts for at least 2 years after interacting with the project

# of families where case managers report as having increase engagement in lives of young people

25%

Based on interviews: there are very few organisations operating in the area that assist families to increase their engagement in the lives of their children

0%

Nothing is displaced

50%

Case managers act as catalyst for the change to happen, however, other organisations / people are responsible to actually providing support required for the families to change

2

50%

In line with assumptions for young people. Once families have experienced this outcome, it lasts for at least 2 years after interacting with the project

# of community Elders and other members of the community that directly engage with the young people and report improved perception of them

0%

Based on interviews: it is unlikely that the perceptions of the young people would have changed, as the program is the only opportunity for the community mentors to interact with the young people in a positive environment. Otherwise, the only thing that was visible to community mentors is the antisocial behaviours displayed by the young people

0%

Nothing is displaced

50%

Based on interviews: some of the change is due to other networks that young people access

5

50%

Outcome lasts during the time of the project / investment period, which is 5 years

# young people that have reduced the frequency of anti-social behaviours they engage in

0%

All young people in the program are high risk of offending and all engage in persistent anti-social behaviours

0%

Nothing is displaced

25%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in reduced level of anti-social behaviours.

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program

# young people that have exited the program who are not engaging in anti-social behaviours after the program

15%

Report on the profile of YP in custody (2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey) found that 85% of the Aboriginal young people in custody reported having a history of previous juvenile detention.

0%

50%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in reduced level of anti-social behaviours. Higher role assumed once YP leaves the program.

2

50%

In line with assumptions for young people. Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years

# of young people not offending during the program

15%

Report on the profile of YP in custody (2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey) found that 85% of the Aboriginal young people in custody reported having a history of previous juvenile detention.

0%

Nothing is displaced

25%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in on-going reduction in offending by these young people.

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program

# of young people that have exited the program who are unlikely to offend after the program

15%

Report on the profile of YP in custody (2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey) found that 85% of the Aboriginal young people in custody reported having a history of previous juvenile detention.

0%

Nothing is displaced

50%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in on-going reduction of offending by these young people. Higher role assumed once YP leaves the program.

2

50%

In line with assumptions for young people. Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years

# of young people avoiding detention immediately after joining program

0%

Young people have already committed the offence, and based on the consultations with the case managers it was clear that most of them would have been sent to detention. Therefore no deadweight

0%

Nothing is displaced

0%

At the beginning, all outcome is attributable fully to the program and the role that case managers have in securing the freedom of the young people

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program

# of young people not in detention during the program

15%

Report on the profile of YP in custody (2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey) found that 85% of the Aboriginal young people in custody reported having a history of previous juvenile detention.

0%

Nothing is displaced

25%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in on-going reduction of recidivism by these young people.

NA

0%

No drop-off because outcome lasts only during the program

# of young people that have exited the program and are unlikely to offend after the program

15%

Report on the profile of YP in custody (2009 NSW Department of Juvenile Justice Young People in Custody Health Survey) found that 85% of the Aboriginal young people in custody reported having a history of previous juvenile detention.

0%

Nothing is displaced

50%

Presence of other support networks also plays a role in on-going reduction of recidivism by these young people. Higher role assumed once YP leaves the program.

2

50%

In line with assumptions for young people. Influence of the program is decreased over time as young people move on. Outcome occurs when young people are in the program and lasts for 2 additional years